Your bets on games today (real ones tagged), scored as they stand right now. Updates every 30 seconds.
Bets where the model disagrees with by 3 points or more. The bar shows the gap in points; the gold post marks the 3-point line where the backtest turned profitable.
Hard Rock props priced better than the market's fair price, built from the other books' lines with their cut removed. The bar shows expected value per bet; the gold post marks the 5% minimum.
Lines from the home team's side (negative means favored). Gap is how far the model sits from the market.
Every flagged play, logged at the line available when it was flagged, 1 unit each. Beating the closing line regularly is the earliest sign of a real edge.
Each season predicted using only earlier seasons, graded at closing lines. Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.